Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 49.61%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.03%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
