Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.43%) and 2-3 (5.01%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.