Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 16, 2023 at 2pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Juventus3 - 1Lazio
We said: Juventus 2-1 Lazio
Two of the best defensive teams in last season's Serie A meet on Saturday, but Lazio have proved more vulnerable at the back this term. While Juventus will win no prizes for flair, they can be ruthlessly efficient and are well-equipped on the counter, so the Old Lady may again get the better of visitors from the capital. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Juventus | Draw | Lazio |
41.93% ( -0) | 27.58% | 30.49% |
| Both teams to score 47.92% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
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