

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 36.13%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.68%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Genoa | 
| 35.55% (  -0.13) | 28.32% (  0.18) | 36.13% (  -0.05) | 
| Both teams to score 46.84% (  -0.52) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 40.57% (  -0.64) | 59.43% (  0.64) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 20.2% (  -0.5) | 79.8% (  0.5) | 
| Hellas Verona Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.25% (  -0.41) | 31.75% (  0.41) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.82% (  -0.47) | 68.18% (  0.47) | 
| Genoa Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.63% (  -0.36) | 31.38% (  0.36) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.25% (  -0.42) | 67.75% (  0.42) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Genoa | 
| 1-0 @ 11.42% (  0.14) 2-1 @ 7.6% (  -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.56% (  0.01) 3-1 @ 2.91% (  -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.51% (  -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.68% (  -0.05) Other @ 2.86% Total : 35.54% | 1-1 @ 13.24% (  0.04) 0-0 @ 9.96% (  0.24) 2-2 @ 4.41% (  -0.08) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.31% | 0-1 @ 11.54% (  0.16) 1-2 @ 7.68% (  -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.69% (  0.03) 1-3 @ 2.97% (  -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.59% (  -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.7% (  -0.05) Other @ 2.96% Total : 36.13% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 | 
| 2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 | 
| 3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 | 
| 4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 | 
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 | 
| 6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 | 
| 7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 | 
| 8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 | 
| 9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 | 
| 10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 | 
| 11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 | 
| 12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 | 
| 13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 | 
| 14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 | 
| 15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 | 
| 16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 | 
| 17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 | 
| 18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 | 
| 19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 | 
| R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 | 
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
