

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | PEC Zwolle | 
| 40.92% | 25.35% | 33.73% | 
| Both teams to score 56.05% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 52.34% | 47.66% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 30.14% | 69.85% | 
| Heerenveen Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.87% | 23.13% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.01% | 56.99% | 
| PEC Zwolle Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 72.91% | 27.09% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.53% | 62.47% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Heerenveen | Draw | PEC Zwolle | 
| 1-0 @ 9.17% 2-1 @ 8.77% 2-0 @ 6.72% 3-1 @ 4.28% 3-0 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 2.8% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.12% Total : 40.92% | 1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 6.27% 2-2 @ 5.73% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 8.18% 1-2 @ 7.82% 0-2 @ 5.34% 1-3 @ 3.41% 2-3 @ 2.49% 0-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.04% Total : 33.73% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 7 | 52 | 51 | 
| 2 | Feyenoord | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 38 | 
| 3 | FC Twente | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 37 | 
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 33 | 
| 5 | Ajax | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 25 | 
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 | 
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 23 | 
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 21 | 
| 9 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 20 | 
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 19 | 
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 19 | 
| 12 | Heracles | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 18 | 
| 13 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 17 | 
| 14 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 17 | 
| 15 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 16 | 
| 16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 14 | 
| 17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 40 | -22 | 11 | 
| 18 | Vitesse | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 11 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
