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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 6
Sep 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Kilmarnock logo
Dundee
2 - 2
Kilmarnock
Bakayoko (16'), Rudden (90+3')
Rudden (68')
Mulligan (34')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Armstrong (30' pen., 81')
Deas (39'), Armstrong (60'), Wright (87')
McInnes (35')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Dundee and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celtic 3-0 Dundee
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-2 Hibernian
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Dundee 2-1 Kilmarnock

There is very little to split these two teams so far which is reflected in the league table, and because of that, a close game should be expected between them. However, the lack of goals and the poor away form of Kilmarnock this season is likely going to give Dundee the advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 47.34%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
DundeeDrawKilmarnock
47.34% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02) 25.7% (0.0019999999999989 0) 26.96% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.4% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)52.1% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.18% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)73.82%
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.99% (-0.012 -0.01)22.01% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.68% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)55.32% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.9% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)34.1% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.22% (0.010999999999999 0.01)70.78% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Dundee 47.33%
    Kilmarnock 26.96%
    Draw 25.7%
DundeeDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 11.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.6% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.67% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.51%
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.64% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 47.33%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 7.5%
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 8.07% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 6.58% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 26.96%

How you voted: Dundee vs Kilmarnock

Dundee
57.6%
Draw
30.3%
Kilmarnock
12.1%
33
Head to Head
May 24, 2021 7.45pm
Final 2nd Leg
Kilmarnock
1-2
Dundee
Lafferty (69' pen.)
Tshibola (55'), McKenzie (73'), Whitehall (87')
Mullen (7'), Ashcroft (12')
May 20, 2021 8.15pm
Final 1st Leg
Dundee
2-1
Kilmarnock
McGhee (6'), Adam (47')
Sow (86'), Byrne (87'), Adam (90+2')
Haunstrup (77')
Millen (41'), Burke (49'), Broadfoot (54')
Feb 6, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Dundee
2-2
Kilmarnock
Nelson (8', 20')
McGowan (7'), Horsfield (88')
McAleny (18'), Burke (54')
Tshibola (14'), Dicker (31')
Dec 15, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 18
Kilmarnock
3-1
Dundee
Broadfoot (54'), Kusunga (66' og.), Stewart (79')
Miller (90')
Boyle (42'), Kusunga (59')
Oct 6, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 8
Dundee
1-2
Kilmarnock
Nabi (10')
Kerr (52'), Boyle (90')
Boyle (17' og.), Brophy (54' pen.)
Stewart (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic108202361726
2RangersRangers96031751218
3St Mirren95311510518
4Dundee9252910-111
5Hearts932489-111
6Motherwell93241012-211
7Kilmarnock92431112-110
8Hibernian102441316-310
9Livingston10244917-810
10Aberdeen8233101009
11Ross County9234915-69
12St Johnstone9045315-124

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