Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.