Serie A | Gameweek 11
Oct 31, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma
1 - 2
AC Milan
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ibrahimovic (26'), Kessie (57' pen.)
Ibrahimovic (27'), Hernandez (41'), Tomori (65'), Calabria (67'), Giroud (77'), Kessie (81')
Hernandez (66')
Ibrahimovic (27'), Hernandez (41'), Tomori (65'), Calabria (67'), Giroud (77'), Kessie (81')
Hernandez (66')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | AC Milan |
| 43.56% | 25.65% | 30.79% |
| Both teams to score 53.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
