Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.