The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 47.02%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 25.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Villarreal |
| 47.02% | 27.02% | 25.97% |
| Both teams to score 46.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
