Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 53.49%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for had a probability of 20.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a win it was 0-1 (7.98%).
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Villarreal |
| 53.49% | 26.05% | 20.46% |
| Both teams to score 43.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.3% | 58.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.77% | 79.23% |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.93% | 22.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.58% | 55.42% |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.11% | 43.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.97% | 80.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 14.63% 2-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 9.11% 3-0 @ 5.57% 3-1 @ 4.59% 4-0 @ 2.1% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-1 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.82% Total : 53.48% | 1-1 @ 12.05% 0-0 @ 9.69% 2-2 @ 3.75% Other @ 0.56% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 7.98% 1-2 @ 4.96% 0-2 @ 3.29% 1-3 @ 1.36% 2-3 @ 1.03% 0-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.94% Total : 20.46% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Villarreal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Real Betis | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Osasuna | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Barcelona | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Rayo Vallecano | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Athletic Bilbao | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Valencia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Espanyol | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 |
| 14 | Celta Vigo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1 |
| 15 | Real Valladolid | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 |
| 16 | Almeria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | GironaGirona | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | CadizCadiz | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 19 | ElcheElche | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 20 | Getafe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
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