Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.