Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Roma had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Roma win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
