Gamba Osaka 1-1 Sagan Tosu - J1 League - November 29, 2020 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Nov 29, 2020 at 8am UK at Panasonic Stadium Suita

Patric (77')
Kurata (79')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sagara (11')
Dudu (52'), Harakawa (90+1')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Gamba Osaka and Sagan Tosu.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Gamba Osaka	Draw	Sagan Tosu
44.15%	26.77%	29.07%

Both teams to score 49.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.89%

55.1%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.64%

76.36%

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.19%

24.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.61%

59.39%

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.96%

34.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.28%

70.71%

Score Analysis

Gamba Osaka 44.14%

Sagan Tosu 29.07%

Draw 26.76%

Gamba Osaka	Draw	Sagan Tosu
1-0 @ 11.76% 2-1 @ 8.84% 2-0 @ 8.2% 3-1 @ 4.11% 3-0 @ 3.81% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.44% Total : 44.14%	1-1 @ 12.68% 0-0 @ 8.44% 2-2 @ 4.77% Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.76%	0-1 @ 9.1% 1-2 @ 6.84% 0-2 @ 4.9% 1-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 1.76% 2-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.3% Total : 29.07%