Gamba Osaka 1-0 Sagan Tosu - J1 League - October 23, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Oct 23, 2021 at 9am UK at Panasonic Stadium Suita

Usami (10')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Gamba Osaka and Sagan Tosu.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result
Gamba Osaka	Draw	Sagan Tosu
34.53%	26.06%	39.4%

Both teams to score 53.81%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.38%

50.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.47%

72.53%

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.97%

28.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.32%

63.68%

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.76%

25.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.02%

59.98%

Score Analysis

Gamba Osaka 34.53%

Sagan Tosu 39.4%

Draw 26.06%

Gamba Osaka	Draw	Sagan Tosu
1-0 @ 9% 2-1 @ 7.88% 2-0 @ 5.72% 3-1 @ 3.34% 3-0 @ 2.43% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.8% Total : 34.53%	1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.07% 2-2 @ 5.43% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.06%	0-1 @ 9.74% 1-2 @ 8.53% 0-2 @ 6.7% 1-3 @ 3.92% 0-3 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 2.49% 1-4 @ 1.35% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.54% Total : 39.4%