Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Shimizu S-Pulse.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 46.08%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 26.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it was 0-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sagan Tosu | Draw | Shimizu S-Pulse |
| 46.08% | 27.18% | 26.74% |
| Both teams to score 46.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.23% | 57.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.49% | 78.51% |
| Sagan Tosu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.95% | 25.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.28% | 59.72% |
| Shimizu S-Pulse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.66% | 37.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.88% | 74.12% |
| Score Analysis |
Sagan Tosu 46.07%
Shimizu S-Pulse 26.74%
Draw 27.17%
| Sagan Tosu | Draw | Shimizu S-Pulse |
| 1-0 @ 12.94% 2-0 @ 8.96% 2-1 @ 8.83% 3-0 @ 4.14% 3-1 @ 4.07% 3-2 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 1.43% 4-1 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.28% Total : 46.07% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 9.35% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 9.21% 1-2 @ 6.28% 0-2 @ 4.54% 1-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 1.49% 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 1.73% Total : 26.74% |
Head to Head
Mar 14, 2021 5am
Oct 18, 2020 6am
Jul 22, 2020 11am
Sagan Tosu
1-1
Shimizu S-Pulse
Harakawa (35')
Matsuoka (57')
Matsuoka (57')
Form Guide
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