Sagan Tosu 1-1 Shonan Bellmare - J1 League - October 16, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Oct 16, 2021 at 6am UK at Tosu Stadium

Sakai (73')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Machino (19')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Shonan Bellmare.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Sagan Tosu	Draw	Shonan Bellmare
45.48%	27.12%	27.4%

Both teams to score 47.59%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.8%

57.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.95%

78.05%

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.91%

25.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.22%

59.78%

Shonan Bellmare Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.52%

36.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.73%

73.27%

Score Analysis

Sagan Tosu 45.48%

Shonan Bellmare 27.4%

Draw 27.11%

Sagan Tosu	Draw	Shonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 12.65% 2-1 @ 8.82% 2-0 @ 8.75% 3-1 @ 4.07% 3-0 @ 4.03% 3-2 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.3% Total : 45.48%	1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 9.15% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.11%	0-1 @ 9.23% 1-2 @ 6.44% 0-2 @ 4.65% 1-3 @ 2.16% 0-3 @ 1.56% 2-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 1.86% Total : 27.4%