Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crewe Alexandra in this match.
