The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Sao Paulo and Ceara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-0 Sao Paulo
Sunday, July 31 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, July 31 at 8pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Santos | 20 | 6 | 27 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 3 | 26 |
| 11 | Goias | 20 | -3 | 25 |
Last Game: Ceara 1-2 Palmeiras
Saturday, July 30 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, July 30 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Goias | 20 | -3 | 25 |
| 12 | Ceara | 20 | 0 | 24 |
| 13 | Botafogo | 20 | -6 | 24 |
We said: Sao Paulo 1-1 Ceara
Ceara's flawless record is on the line in Sao Paulo, and they are likely to defend it with tooth and claw, so an all-too-familiar draw could be on the cards for both sides in this first-leg encounter. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 48.72%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 24.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Ceara |
48.72% ( 0.03) | 27.14% ( -0.05) | 24.14% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 44.94% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
