MX23RW : Thursday, November 3 02:00:59| >> :300:86500:86500:
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sao Paulo 4-1 Catolica
Friday, July 8 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Atletico Mineiro 1-0 Sao Paulo

Despite the quality that both teams possess in the attack, we anticipate this will be a cagey affair as Sao Paulo like to keep things tight and are not as aggressive away from home, while Mineiro tend to take some time to settle into a match. Galo always seem to find a way to get the job done on their home field, and having an extra couple of days to rest should be enough to see them narrowly defeat Tricolor Paulista. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 54.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 20.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawSao Paulo
54.26% (0.026000000000003 0.03) 24.91% (0.309 0.31) 20.84% (-0.327 -0.33)
Both teams to score 47.29% (-1.314 -1.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.74% (-1.51 -1.51)54.26% (1.516 1.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.35% (-1.274 -1.27)75.66% (1.28 1.28)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.04% (-0.575 -0.58)19.97% (0.582 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.87% (-0.939 -0.94)52.13% (0.945 0.95)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.08% (-1.204 -1.2)40.92% (1.209 1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.52% (-1.093 -1.09)77.48% (1.099 1.1)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 54.25%
    Sao Paulo 20.84%
    Draw 24.91%
Atletico MineiroDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 13.16% (0.54 0.54)
2-0 @ 10.6% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
3-0 @ 5.7% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.09% (-0.144 -0.14)
4-0 @ 2.29% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 54.25%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.17% (0.472 0.47)
2-2 @ 4.23% (-0.185 -0.19)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 24.91%
0-1 @ 7.3% (0.191 0.19)
1-2 @ 5.26% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-2 @ 3.26% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 20.84%

How you voted: Atletico Mineiro vs Sao Paulo

Atletico Mineiro
80.8%
Draw
19.2%
Sao Paulo
0.0%
26
Head to Head
Sep 26, 2021 1am
Jun 13, 2021 8pm
Dec 17, 2020 12.30am
Sao Paulo
3-0
Atletico Mineiro
Gomes (25'), Sara (84'), Toro (90+1')
Tche (68'), Alves (70')
Sep 4, 2020 12am
Oct 27, 2019 7pm
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PalmeirasPalmeiras342111259223774
2InternacionalInternacional351713552312164
3FlamengoFlamengo34187956322461
4Fluminense351871056401661
5Corinthians34161083932758
6Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR35159114445-154
7Atletico Mineiro35131394135652
8Sao Paulo351215850381251
9America MineiroAmerica Mineiro35147143436-249
10FortalezaFortaleza34139123734348
11Botafogo35138143640-447
12SantosSantos351210134335846
13BragantinoBragantino351111134848044
14GoiasGoias351013123946-743
15Coritiba35115193556-2138
16Cuiaba35910162837-937
17CearaCeara35616133037-734
18Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3589183654-1833
19Avai3577212958-2928
20JuventudeJuventude35312202662-3621

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