Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 37.27%. A win for Coritiba had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Coritiba win was 1-0 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.