Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 50.54%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.56%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Manchester United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester United.