Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.35%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
Result | ||
Minnesota United | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
45.97% | 23.13% | 30.89% |
Both teams to score 62.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.57% | 38.43% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.28% | 60.71% |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.9% | 17.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.71% | 47.29% |
Real Salt Lake Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.65% | 24.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.26% | 58.74% |
Score Analysis |
Minnesota United | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
2-1 @ 9.17% 1-0 @ 7.35% 2-0 @ 6.49% 3-1 @ 5.4% 3-0 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 3.82% 4-1 @ 2.39% 4-0 @ 1.69% 4-2 @ 1.69% Other @ 4.16% Total : 45.97% | 1-1 @ 10.38% 2-2 @ 6.48% 0-0 @ 4.16% 3-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.13% | 1-2 @ 7.34% 0-1 @ 5.88% 0-2 @ 4.15% 1-3 @ 3.46% 2-3 @ 3.05% 0-3 @ 1.96% 1-4 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.76% Total : 30.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 29 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 61 | 21 | 40 | 57 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 49 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 47 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 45 |
5 | Orlando City | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 42 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 39 |
7 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 36 |
8 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 35 |
9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 35 |
10 | Toronto | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 34 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 33 |
12 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 28 | 10 | 2 | 16 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 32 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 31 |
14 | DC United | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 59 | -27 | 25 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 29 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 61 | 21 | 40 | 57 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 49 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 47 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 45 |
5 | Orlando City | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 42 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 39 |
7 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 36 |
8 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 35 |
9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 35 |
10 | Toronto | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 34 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 33 |
12 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 28 | 10 | 2 | 16 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 32 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 31 |
14 | DC United | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 59 | -27 | 25 |