Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 74.64%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 8.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.01%) and 3-0 (10.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.9%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.