Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.