Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, July 1 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| 10 | Argentinos Juniors | 12 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 18 |
Saturday, July 2 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| 10 | Argentinos Juniors | 12 | 3 | 19 |
We said: Argentinos Juniors 2-1 Tigre
Even though they dropped their last home fixture on Wednesday, El Bicho play with a lot more structure and balance on their home field. We expect them to use the crowd to their advantage again on Monday while also finding a way through a side who have conceded the second-most goals (10) in the second phase of this competition. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 57.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 18.91%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Argentinos Juniors in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Argentinos Juniors.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Tigre |
57.01% ( 0.41) | 24.07% ( -0.34) | 18.91% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 46.8% ( 0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
