Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 76.24%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.02%) and 3-0 (11.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.45%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.