Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (11.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Brentford |
| 37.24% | 28.11% | 34.65% |
| Both teams to score 47.4% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.29% | 58.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.75% | 79.25% |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.67% | 30.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.49% | 66.51% |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.03% | 31.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.57% | 68.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | Brentford |
| 1-0 @ 11.56% 2-1 @ 7.87% 2-0 @ 6.9% 3-1 @ 3.13% 3-0 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 1.79% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.31% Total : 37.23% | 1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 9.69% 2-2 @ 4.49% Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.11% | 0-1 @ 11.05% 1-2 @ 7.52% 0-2 @ 6.3% 1-3 @ 2.86% 0-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.8% Total : 34.64% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 29 | 6 | 3 | 99 | 26 | 73 | 93 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 38 | 28 | 8 | 2 | 94 | 26 | 68 | 92 |
| 3 | Chelsea | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 76 | 33 | 43 | 74 |
| 4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 22 | 5 | 11 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
| 5 | Arsenal | 38 | 22 | 3 | 13 | 61 | 48 | 13 | 69 |
| 6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 57 | 57 | 0 | 58 |
| 7 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 60 | 51 | 9 | 56 |
| 8 | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 62 | 59 | 3 | 52 |
| 9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 15 | 11 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 51 |
| 10 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 51 |
| 11 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 62 | -18 | 49 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 48 |
| 13 | Brentford | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 46 |
| 14 | Aston Villa | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 45 |
| 15 | Southampton | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 43 | 67 | -24 | 40 |
| 16 | Everton | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 39 |
| 17 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 42 | 79 | -37 | 38 |
| R | Burnley | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 34 | 53 | -19 | 35 |
| R | Watford | 38 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 34 | 77 | -43 | 23 |
| R | Norwich CityNorwich | 38 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 84 | -61 | 22 |
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