Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 86.4%. A draw had a probability of 9.7% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 3.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.05%) and 4-0 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.6%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (1.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.