Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 67.82%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Watford had a probability of 12.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.