The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Burnley 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Leeds United | 38 | -37 | 38 |
| 18 | Burnley | 38 | -19 | 35 |
| 19 | Watford | 38 | -43 | 23 |
Last Game: Leicester 4-1 Southampton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Aston Villa | 38 | -2 | 45 |
| 15 | Southampton | 38 | -24 | 40 |
| 16 | Everton | 38 | -23 | 39 |
We said: Burnley 1-1 Southampton
The Clarets and the Saints played out a 2-2 draw at St Mary's earlier this season, and another closely-fought contest could be on the cards on Thursday. The pressure is all on relegation-threatened Burnley to claim maximum points on home soil, but we expect Hasenhuttl's side to frustrate the hosts and secure a point. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Southampton |
| 28.76% | 25.45% | 45.79% |
| Both teams to score 53.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
