

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Udinese | Draw | AC Milan |
| 30.85% ( | 24.88% ( | 44.27% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.53% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.45% ( | 46.55% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.17% ( | 68.83% ( |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.62% ( | 28.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.88% ( | 64.12% ( |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.92% ( | 21.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.11% ( | 53.89% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Udinese | Draw | AC Milan |
| 1-0 @ 7.53% ( 2-1 @ 7.39% ( 2-0 @ 4.74% ( 3-1 @ 3.1% ( 3-2 @ 2.41% 3-0 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.7% Total : 30.85% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 9.31% ( 1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0-2 @ 7.25% 1-3 @ 4.74% ( 0-3 @ 3.76% ( 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 1-4 @ 1.85% ( 0-4 @ 1.47% ( 2-4 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 44.27% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Inter Milan | 31 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 69 | 30 | 39 | 68 |
| 2 | Napoli | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 65 |
| 3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 30 | 33 | 58 |
| 4 | Bologna | 31 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
| 5 | Juventus | 31 | 14 | 14 | 3 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 56 |
| 6 | Lazio | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 55 |
| 7 | Roma | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 53 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 52 |
| 9 | AC Milan | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 48 |
| 10 | Torino | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 40 |
| 11 | Udinese | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 40 |
| 12 | Genoa | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 38 |
| 13 | Como | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 33 |
| 14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 31 | 9 | 4 | 18 | 30 | 59 | -29 | 31 |
| 15 | CagliariCagliari | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 30 |
| 16 | Parma | 31 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 27 |
| 17 | Lecce | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 50 | -28 | 26 |
| 18 | Empoli | 31 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 24 |
| 19 | VeneziaVenezia | 31 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 21 |
| 20 | Monza | 31 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 25 | 55 | -30 | 15 |
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
