Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Udinese | Draw | AC Milan |
30.85% (![]() | 24.88% (![]() | 44.27% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.53% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.45% (![]() | 46.55% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.17% (![]() | 68.83% (![]() |
Udinese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.62% (![]() | 28.38% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.88% (![]() | 64.12% (![]() |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.92% (![]() | 21.08% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.11% (![]() | 53.89% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Udinese | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 7.53% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.39% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.74% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.1% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.41% 3-0 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.7% Total : 30.85% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 5.98% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.75% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 9.31% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.13% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.25% 1-3 @ 4.74% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.76% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.99% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.85% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.47% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 2.61% Total : 44.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 31 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 69 | 30 | 39 | 68 |
2 | Napoli | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 65 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 30 | 33 | 58 |
4 | Bologna | 31 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Juventus | 31 | 14 | 14 | 3 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 56 |
6 | Lazio | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 55 |
7 | Roma | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 53 |
8 | Fiorentina | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 52 |
9 | AC Milan | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 48 |
10 | Torino | 31 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 40 |
11 | Udinese | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 40 |
12 | Genoa | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 38 |
13 | Como | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 31 | 9 | 4 | 18 | 30 | 59 | -29 | 31 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 30 |
16 | Parma | 31 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 27 |
17 | Lecce | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 50 | -28 | 26 |
18 | Empoli | 31 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 24 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 31 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 21 |
20 | Monza | 31 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 25 | 55 | -30 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |