Major League Soccer

May 11, 2025 at 3.30am UK

Providence Park

Portland
1 - 0
Kansas

Moreno (10', 10')
Bravo (67'), Bravo (67')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Suleymanov (73'), Suleymanov (73'), Davis (74'), Davis (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between Portland Timbers and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: Earthquakes 4-1 Portland
Sunday, May 4 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Kansas 1-0 LA Galaxy
Monday, May 5 at 12am in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 51.42%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
51.42% ( 0.29)	22.11% ( -0.06)	26.47% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 63.07% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.47% (

0.07)

36.52% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.33% (

0.08)

58.67% (

-0.07)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.54% (

0.12)

14.45% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.59% (

0.24)

42.41% (

-0.23)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.73% (

-0.13)

26.27% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.62% (

-0.17)

61.38% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 51.42%

Sporting Kansas City 26.47%

Draw 22.11%

Portland Timbers	Draw	Sporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.39% Total : 51.42%	1-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0) Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.11%	1-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.26% Total : 26.47%