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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
May 4, 2025 at 3.30am UK
Earthquakes Stadium
Portland Timbers

Earthquakes
4 - 1
Portland

Espinoza (16', 24'), Arango (27'), Bouda (88')
Harkes (38'), Munie (40'), Romney (55'), Costa (90+4')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Mora (42')
Miller (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, April 27 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-4 Portland
Monday, April 28 at 2am in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 Portland Timbers

Both sides have a knack for scoring goals, but the visitors have been more efficient, leading to a six-game unbeaten run, with four wins in that period. Given the defensive woes of the hosts, we are backing Portland to claim a narrow 2-1 win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 47.79%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.87%) and 1-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.92%).

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawPortland Timbers
47.79% (0.542 0.54) 21.63% (-0.029 -0.03) 30.57% (-0.516 -0.52)
Both teams to score 68.2% (-0.215 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.83% (-0.15400000000001 -0.15)31.17% (0.152 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.41% (-0.18300000000001 -0.18)52.58% (0.18 0.18)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.29% (0.119 0.12)13.7% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.06% (0.239 0.24)40.93% (-0.242 -0.24)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.03% (-0.36 -0.36)20.96% (0.358 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.28% (-0.565 -0.56)53.71% (0.562 0.56)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 47.79%
    Portland Timbers 30.57%
    Draw 21.63%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawPortland Timbers
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.87% (0.064 0.06)
1-0 @ 5.71% (0.073 0.07)
2-0 @ 5.67% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
3-2 @ 4.59%
3-0 @ 3.76% (0.081 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.92% (0.044 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.28% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.87% (0.048 0.05)
4-3 @ 1.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.16% (0.023 0.02)
5-2 @ 0.91% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 47.79%
1-1 @ 8.92% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.93% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.87% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.39% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 21.63%
1-2 @ 6.97% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-1 @ 4.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.61% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.51% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.41% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-4 @ 0.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 30.57%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Portland

San Jose Earthquakes
37.5%
Draw
0.0%
Portland Timbers
62.5%
8
Head to Head
Jun 20, 2024 3.30am
Earthquakes
1-2
Portland
Marie (50')
Evander (22'), Rodriguez (72')
Bravo (48'), Evander (76'), Fogaca (87'), Moreno (89'), Miller (90+4')
May 16, 2024 3.30am
Portland
4-2
Earthquakes
Evander (74' pen.), Rodriguez (80', 90+10'), Mora (90' pen.)
Miller (82')
Pellegrino (31'), Lopez (34')
Yarbrough (89')
Wilson (71')
Sep 21, 2023 3.30am
Portland
2-1
Earthquakes
Paredes (45+3'), Evander (58')
Paredes (41'), Bingham (90+8')
Hoppe (60')
Marie (32'), Gruezo (35'), Espinoza (90+2')
Jun 18, 2023 3.30am
Earthquakes
0-0
Portland
Cowell (51'), Marie (54'), Thompson (90+1')
Moreno (18'), Zuparic (44'), Miller (64')
Jul 24, 2022 3.30am
Portland
2-1
Earthquakes
van Rankin (39'), Chara (40'), Bravo (40'), Asprilla (67')
Cardoso (49'), Remedi (53'), Yueill (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Columbus Crew117311810824
2Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1171321101122
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati117131513222
4Inter MiamiInter Miami106312011921
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC116141812619
6Nashville SCNashville115242014617
7Orlando City114521812617
8New York City FCNY City115241313017
9New England RevolutionNew England1051497216
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114341213-115
11Chicago Fire113441822-413
12DC United113351323-1012
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta112451220-810
14Toronto11146816-87
15CF MontrealMontreal11038516-113

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver118212281426
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd115421510519
3Portland TimbersPortland115332119218
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles115241716117
5Seattle SoundersSeattle114431713416
6Colorado RapidsColorado114431516-116
7Austin FCAustin11515713-616
8Dallas114341419-515
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes114162420413
10Real Salt LakeSalt Lake114071217-512
11St Louis City11245812-410
12Houston DynamoHouston112451016-610
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas102171621-57
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy10037820-123
15San Diego FC00000000


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