Major League Soccer

May 4, 2025 at 3.30am UK

Earthquakes Stadium

Earthquakes
4 - 1
Portland

Espinoza (16', 16', 24', 24'), Arango (27', 27'), Bouda (88', 88')
Harkes (38'), Harkes (38'), Munie (40'), Munie (40'), Romney (55'), Romney (55'), Costa (90+4'), Costa (90+4')

FT(HT: 6-2)

Mora (42', 42')
Miller (90+2'), Miller (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, April 27 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-4 Portland
Monday, April 28 at 2am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 47.79%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.87%) and 1-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Portland Timbers
47.79% ( 0.18)	21.63% ( 0.08)	30.57% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 68.2% (

-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.83% (

-0.53)

31.17% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.41% (

-0.63)

52.58% (

0.62)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.29% (

-0.14)

13.7% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.06% (

-0.27)

40.93% (

0.27)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.03% (

-0.4)

20.96% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.28% (

-0.63)

53.71% (

0.63)

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 47.79%

Portland Timbers 30.57%

Draw 21.63%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Portland Timbers
2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 3% Total : 47.79%	1-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.53% Total : 21.63%	1-2 @ 6.97% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.04) 3-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.79% Total : 30.57%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Portland

San Jose Earthquakes

37.5%

Draw

0.0%

Portland Timbers

62.5%

Head to Head

Jun 20, 2024 3.30am

Earthquakes

1-2

Portland

Marie (50')

Evander (22'), Rodriguez (72')
Bravo (48'), Evander (76'), Fogaca (87'), Moreno (89'), Miller (90+4')

> Preview

May 16, 2024 3.30am

Portland

4-2

Earthquakes

Evander (74' pen.), Rodriguez (80', 90+10'), Mora (90' pen.)
Miller (82')

Pellegrino (31'), Lopez (34')
Yarbrough (89')
Wilson (71')

> Preview

Sep 21, 2023 3.30am

Portland

2-1

Earthquakes

Paredes (45+3'), Evander (58')
Paredes (41'), Bingham (90+8')

Hoppe (60')
Marie (32'), Gruezo (35'), Espinoza (90+2')

> Preview

Jun 18, 2023 3.30am

Earthquakes

0-0

Portland

Cowell (51'), Marie (54'), Thompson (90+1')

Moreno (18'), Zuparic (44'), Miller (64')

> Preview

Jul 24, 2022 3.30am

Portland

2-1

Earthquakes

van Rankin (39'), Chara (40'), Bravo (40'), Asprilla (67')

Cardoso (49'), Remedi (53'), Yueill (78')

> Preview

Form Guide

Columbus Crew 2-1 Earthquakes

Earthquakes 3-5 Kansas

Los Angeles 2-1 Earthquakes

Earthquakes 6-1 DC United

Earthquakes 1-1 Seattle

Charlotte FC 4-1 Earthquakes

LA Galaxy 2-4 Portland

Portland 3-3 Los Angeles

Kansas 2-4 Portland

Austin 0-0 Portland

Portland 3-1 Houston

Colorado 0-3 Portland

Nations League

Spain

International Friendlies

Algeria

International Friendlies

Georgia

Belarus

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

Congo DR

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Australia

Saudi Arabia

Indonesia

South Korea

Palestine

Jordan

Qatar

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

Eastern Conference

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Philadelphia Union Philadelphia	14	8	3	3	24	12	12	27
2	Columbus Crew	14	7	5	2	22	18	4	26
3	FC Cincinnati Cincinnati	15	8	2	5	21	21	0	26
4	Inter Miami Inter Miami	13	7	3	3	26	19	7	24
5	New York City FC NY City	15	7	3	5	20	17	3	24
6	Nashville SC Nashville	14	6	4	4	24	17	7	22
7	Charlotte FC Charlotte FC	14	7	1	6	22	18	4	22
8	Chicago Fire	15	6	4	5	28	28	0	22
9	Orlando City	14	5	6	3	25	18	7	21
10	New York Red Bulls NY Red Bulls	14	6	3	5	21	15	6	21
11	New England Revolution New England	13	6	3	4	15	10	5	21
12	DC United	14	4	4	6	15	26	-11	16
13	Toronto	14	3	4	7	16	19	-3	13
14	Atlanta United Atlanta	15	3	4	8	17	27	-10	13
15	CF Montreal Montreal	14	1	3	10	7	25	-18	6

Western Conference

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver	13	8	4	1	24	10	14	28
2	Minnesota United Minnesota Utd	14	8	4	2	25	13	12	28
3	Portland Timbers Portland	13	6	4	3	23	20	3	22
4	Seattle Sounders Seattle	14	5	5	4	23	18	5	20
5	Los Angeles FC Los Angeles	13	5	4	4	21	20	1	19
6	Colorado Rapids Colorado	13	5	4	4	16	18	-2	19
7	San Jose Earthquakes Earthquakes	14	5	2	7	27	22	5	17
8	Dallas	14	4	5	5	15	22	-7	17
9	Austin FC Austin	14	5	2	7	8	17	-9	17
10	St Louis City	14	3	4	7	11	18	-7	13
11	Houston Dynamo Houston	14	3	4	7	14	22	-8	13
12	Real Salt Lake Salt Lake	14	4	1	9	13	21	-8	13
13	Sporting Kansas City Kansas	13	3	2	8	19	23	-4	11
14	Los Angeles Galaxy LA Galaxy	13	1	4	8	12	29	-17	7
15	San Diego FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0