Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 73.32%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 9.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.68%) and 3-0 (10.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.