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Championship | Gameweek 13
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Den
Blackburn logo

Millwall
1 - 2
Blackburn

Harding (3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rankin-Costello (22'), Brittain (51')
Dolan (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Millwall and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 1-1 Millwall
Saturday, October 21 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-2 Blackburn Rovers

Saturday's 1-0 win was somewhat of a rarity for Blackburn Rovers, who have seen plenty of goals at both ends of the pitch in most of their Championship outings so far this season, and we anticipate another relatively eventful affair on Tuesday with the visitors' back-to-back wins perhaps inspiring a narrow triumph at The Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 45%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Millwall win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match.

Result
MillwallDrawBlackburn Rovers
30.55% (1.619 1.62) 24.45% (-0.09 -0.09) 45% (-1.532 -1.53)
Both teams to score 57.85% (1.286 1.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.25% (1.25 1.25)44.75% (-1.251 -1.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.89% (1.194 1.19)67.11% (-1.195 -1.19)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.32% (1.738 1.74)27.68% (-1.739 -1.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.76% (2.178 2.18)63.23% (-2.18 -2.18)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.99% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)20.01% (0.146 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.79% (-0.238 -0.24)52.2% (0.238 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 30.55%
    Blackburn Rovers 45%
    Draw 24.44%
MillwallDrawBlackburn Rovers
2-1 @ 7.35% (0.282 0.28)
1-0 @ 7.11% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.57% (0.196 0.2)
3-1 @ 3.15% (0.264 0.26)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.202 0.2)
3-0 @ 1.96% (0.172 0.17)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.129 0.13)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 30.55%
1-1 @ 11.44% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.91% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 5.54% (-0.305 -0.31)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 9.21% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-1 @ 8.91% (-0.533 -0.53)
0-2 @ 7.17% (-0.464 -0.46)
1-3 @ 4.94% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.85% (-0.268 -0.27)
2-3 @ 3.17% (0.093 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.99% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.55% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 45%

How you voted: Millwall vs Blackburn

Millwall
35.3%
Draw
35.3%
Blackburn Rovers
29.4%
34
Head to Head
May 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 46
Millwall
3-4
Blackburn
Watmore (8', 37'), Burke (39')
Wharton (22'), Rankin-Costello (51'), Brereton Diaz (63', 86')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Blackburn
2-1
Millwall
Dolan (57'), Brereton Diaz (63')
Cooper (75')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Blackburn
0-0
Millwall
Cooper (41'), Wallace (67'), Saville (73')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Millwall
1-1
Blackburn
Wallace (64')
Kieftenbeld (60')
Brereton Diaz (76')
Lenihan (52'), Ayala (82')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 35
Millwall
0-2
Blackburn

Woods (43'), Evans (77')
Dack (18'), Gallagher (75')
Brereton (56'), Gallagher (65'), Trybull (77'), Kaminski (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds432613483295491
2Burnley432516259144591
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd43277959332686
4Sunderland432113958401876
5Bristol City4317161056461067
6Coventry CityCoventry43199156154766
7Middlesbrough431891663521163
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4314181151411060
9Millwall431612154245-360
10Blackburn RoversBlackburn43178184946359
11Swansea CitySwansea43169184651-557
12Watford43168195157-656
13Norwich CityNorwich431314166663353
14Queens Park RangersQPR431314165156-553
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds431411185666-1053
16Stoke CityStoke431214174554-950
17Preston North EndPreston431019144453-949
18Portsmouth431310205569-1449
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd431212194361-1848
20Hull City431112204151-1045
21Derby CountyDerby431110224455-1143
22Luton TownLuton431110223863-2543
23Cardiff CityCardiff43915194568-2342
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth43913214584-3940


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