Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 45%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Millwall win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
| 30.55% ( | 24.45% ( | 45% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.85% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.25% ( | 44.75% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.89% ( | 67.11% ( |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.32% ( | 27.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.76% ( | 63.23% ( |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.99% ( | 20.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.79% ( | 52.2% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Millwall | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 7.35% ( 1-0 @ 7.11% ( 2-0 @ 4.57% ( 3-1 @ 3.15% ( 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 3-0 @ 1.96% ( 4-1 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.87% Total : 30.55% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0-0 @ 5.54% ( 3-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.44% | 1-2 @ 9.21% ( 0-1 @ 8.91% ( 0-2 @ 7.17% ( 1-3 @ 4.94% ( 0-3 @ 3.85% ( 2-3 @ 3.17% ( 1-4 @ 1.99% ( 0-4 @ 1.55% ( 2-4 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 2.94% Total : 45% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 43 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 83 | 29 | 54 | 91 |
| 2 | Burnley | 43 | 25 | 16 | 2 | 59 | 14 | 45 | 91 |
| 3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 43 | 27 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 33 | 26 | 86 |
| 4 | Sunderland | 43 | 21 | 13 | 9 | 58 | 40 | 18 | 76 |
| 5 | Bristol City | 43 | 17 | 16 | 10 | 56 | 46 | 10 | 67 |
| 6 | Coventry CityCoventry | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 61 | 54 | 7 | 66 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough | 43 | 18 | 9 | 16 | 63 | 52 | 11 | 63 |
| 8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 43 | 14 | 18 | 11 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 60 |
| 9 | Millwall | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 60 |
| 10 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 43 | 17 | 8 | 18 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 59 |
| 11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 43 | 16 | 9 | 18 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 57 |
| 12 | Watford | 43 | 16 | 8 | 19 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 56 |
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 43 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 66 | 63 | 3 | 53 |
| 14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 43 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 53 |
| 15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 43 | 14 | 11 | 18 | 56 | 66 | -10 | 53 |
| 16 | Stoke CityStoke | 43 | 12 | 14 | 17 | 45 | 54 | -9 | 50 |
| 17 | Preston North EndPreston | 43 | 10 | 19 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 49 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 43 | 13 | 10 | 20 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 49 |
| 19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 43 | 12 | 12 | 19 | 43 | 61 | -18 | 48 |
| 20 | Hull City | 43 | 11 | 12 | 20 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 45 |
| 21 | Derby CountyDerby | 43 | 11 | 10 | 22 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 43 |
| 22 | Luton TownLuton | 43 | 11 | 10 | 22 | 38 | 63 | -25 | 43 |
| 23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 43 | 9 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 68 | -23 | 42 |
| 24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 43 | 9 | 13 | 21 | 45 | 84 | -39 | 40 |
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