Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 52.2%. A win for Hannover had a probability of 25.92% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.25%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Hannover win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ajax in this match.