Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 52.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 23.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Barcelona in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Barcelona |
| 23.29% ( | 24.4% ( | 52.31% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.85% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.22% ( | 49.78% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.22% ( | 71.78% ( |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.01% ( | 35.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.23% ( | 72.76% ( |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81% ( | 19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.45% ( | 50.55% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Osasuna | Draw | Barcelona |
| 1-0 @ 6.99% ( 2-1 @ 5.93% ( 2-0 @ 3.57% ( 3-1 @ 2.02% ( 3-2 @ 1.68% ( 3-0 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 1.89% Total : 23.29% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 2-2 @ 4.93% ( 3-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.4% | 0-1 @ 11.35% ( 1-2 @ 9.64% ( 0-2 @ 9.43% ( 1-3 @ 5.34% ( 0-3 @ 5.22% ( 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 1-4 @ 2.22% ( 0-4 @ 2.17% ( 2-4 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 3.09% Total : 52.31% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 28 | 20 | 3 | 5 | 78 | 27 | 51 | 63 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 59 | 27 | 32 | 60 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 56 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 28 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 52 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 44 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 44 |
| 7 | Mallorca | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 40 |
| 8 | Celta Vigo | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 39 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 37 |
| 10 | Getafe | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 36 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 36 |
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | GironaGirona | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 34 |
| 14 | Osasuna | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 33 |
| 15 | Espanyol | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 28 |
| 16 | Valencia | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 28 |
| 17 | AlavesAlaves | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 27 |
| 18 | Leganes | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 27 |
| 19 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 28 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 63 | -45 | 16 |
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