Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 55.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Cambuur in this match.
