Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 19.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
