Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 57.45%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 21.53% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.19%) and 0-1 (7.93%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 2-1 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
