Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 55.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 21.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Cremonese win it was 2-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.