MX23RW : Friday, May 19 08:12:17| >> :120:36844:36844:
Lazio logo
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Lazio
2 - 2
Sturm Graz
Immobile (45' pen.), Pedro (71')
Lazzari (27'), Immobile (45+3')
Lazzari (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Boving (56', 83')
Ingolitsch (22'), Kiteishvili (27'), Affengruber (44'), Gorenc Stankovic (45+2'), Prass (74'), Ljubic (85'), Wuthrich (88')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Lazio and Sturm Graz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 0-4 Lazio
Monday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sturm Graz 0-0 Lazio
Thursday, October 6 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Lazio 3-1 Sturm Graz

Lazio are unbeaten in their last six Europa League home matches, and should keep that run going against bottom seeds Sturm Graz. Sturm Graz have proved they can compete in this group though, despite being battered by Feyenoord, and may pose Lazio a few problems throughout the night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 47.75%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 25.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Sturm Graz win it was 0-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
LazioDrawSturm Graz
47.75% (0.056999999999995 0.06) 26.63% (-0.096 -0.1) 25.62% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 47.61% (0.306 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.49% (0.379 0.38)56.51% (-0.375 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.5% (0.305 0.31)77.5% (-0.29899999999999 -0.3)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.31% (0.19200000000001 0.19)23.7% (-0.186 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.18% (0.272 0.27)57.82% (-0.266 -0.27)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.39% (0.248 0.25)37.61% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.61% (0.245 0.25)74.39% (-0.239 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 47.75%
    Sturm Graz 25.62%
    Draw 26.63%
LazioDrawSturm Graz
1-0 @ 12.83% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 9.24% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.34% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 47.75%
1-1 @ 12.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.91% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.42% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 26.63%
0-1 @ 8.72% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.14% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.26% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 2% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.44% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 25.62%

How you voted: Lazio vs Sturm Graz

Lazio
93.8%
Draw
5.4%
Sturm Graz
0.9%
112
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2022 5.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables
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2Arsenal36256583424181
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361912567323569
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd35206951411066
5Liverpool36198970422865
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351771167491858
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs36176136559657
8Aston Villa36176134844457
9Brentford36131495445953
10Fulham36156155249351
11Chelsea351110143641-543
12Crystal Palace361110153746-943
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36117183052-2240
14Bournemouth36116193769-3239
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham36107193852-1437
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest36810183667-3134
17Everton36711183256-2432
18Leeds UnitedLeeds36710194671-2531
19Leicester CityLeicester3686224967-1830
RSouthampton3666243166-3524

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