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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Sep 29, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
Atlanta United

Philadelphia
1 - 1
Atlanta

Harriel (61')
Uhre (68'), Harriel (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lobzhanidze (72')
Lennon (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 4-0 DC United
Sunday, September 22 at 11.15pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-2 Atlanta
Sunday, September 22 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-1 Atlanta United

With just three points between Atlanta United and Philadelphia Union in the coveted ninth place, we anticipate a thrilling contest at Subaru Park as both sides look to get one over the other. However, Philadelphia's home advantage gives them a slight edge and we fancy them to see off the Five Stripes who have failed to win six of their last seven games on their travels. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 53.63%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 24.37% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawAtlanta United
53.63%21.99% (0.0019999999999989 0) 24.37% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 61.23% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.03% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)37.97% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.77% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)60.23% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)14.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)41.99% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.4% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)28.6% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.6% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)64.4% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 53.63%
    Atlanta United 24.37%
    Draw 21.99%
Philadelphia UnionDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 7.74% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 6.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.94% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 3.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.45%
4-2 @ 1.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 53.63%
1-1 @ 9.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 6.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.07% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.64% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.99%
1-2 @ 6.22%
0-1 @ 5.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.19%
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 24.37%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Atlanta

Philadelphia Union
58.3%
Draw
8.3%
Atlanta United
33.3%
12
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2024 7.30pm
Atlanta
2-2
Philadelphia
Rios (55'), Wiley (63')
Almada (25'), Muyumba (84')
Uhre (73'), Wagner (77')
Carranza (21'), Gazdag (35'), Andres Martinez (35'), Wagner (75'), McGlynn (90+5')
Oct 5, 2023 12.30am
Philadelphia
3-2
Atlanta
Gazdag (39'), Uhre (41'), Carranza (45+3')
Elliott (34'), Sullivan (66'), Andres Martinez (75'), Harriel (81')
Almada (56' pen.), Mosquera (77')
Thiare (75')
Jul 2, 2023 9pm
Atlanta
2-0
Philadelphia
Almada (7'), Lennon (79')
Sejdic (70'), Ibarra (75')

Harriel (4'), Carranza (47'), Uhre (65'), Torres (90+3')
Sep 1, 2022 12am
Philadelphia
4-1
Atlanta
Carranza (18'), Uhre (45+3'), Gazdag (67'), Harriel (90+5')
Gutman (24')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Charlotte FCCharlotte FC9612167919
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati96121311219
3Inter MiamiInter Miami8530136718
4Columbus Crew9531127518
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia9513169716
6Orlando City93421512313
7Nashville SCNashville94141211113
8Chicago Fire93331615112
9New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls9333109112
10New York City FCNY City93241113-211
11New England RevolutionNew England831467-110
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta92341116-59
13DC United92341119-89
14Toronto9144813-57
15CF MontrealMontreal9036413-93

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver96211761120
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd9441117416
3Austin FCAustin951378-116
4Portland TimbersPortland94321613315
5Colorado RapidsColorado94321313015
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles94141314-113
7Seattle SoundersSeattle93331211112
8Dallas93331011-112
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes93151917210
10St Louis City923456-19
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9306814-69
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas92161519-47
13Houston DynamoHouston9144814-67
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy9036616-103
15San Diego FC00000000


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