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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Sep 29, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
Atlanta United

Philadelphia
1 - 1
Atlanta

Harriel (61')
Uhre (68'), Harriel (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lobzhanidze (72')
Lennon (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 4-0 DC United
Sunday, September 22 at 11.15pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-2 Atlanta
Sunday, September 22 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-1 Atlanta United

With just three points between Atlanta United and Philadelphia Union in the coveted ninth place, we anticipate a thrilling contest at Subaru Park as both sides look to get one over the other. However, Philadelphia's home advantage gives them a slight edge and we fancy them to see off the Five Stripes who have failed to win six of their last seven games on their travels. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 53.63%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 24.37% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawAtlanta United
53.63%21.99% (0.0019999999999989 0) 24.37% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 61.23% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.03% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)37.97% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.77% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)60.23% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)14.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)41.99% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.4% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)28.6% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.6% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)64.4% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 53.63%
    Atlanta United 24.37%
    Draw 21.99%
Philadelphia UnionDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 7.74% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 6.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.94% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 3.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.45%
4-2 @ 1.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 53.63%
1-1 @ 9.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 6.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.07% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.64% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.99%
1-2 @ 6.22%
0-1 @ 5.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.19%
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 24.37%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Atlanta

Philadelphia Union
58.3%
Draw
8.3%
Atlanta United
33.3%
12
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2024 7.30pm
Atlanta
2-2
Philadelphia
Rios (55'), Wiley (63')
Almada (25'), Muyumba (84')
Uhre (73'), Wagner (77')
Carranza (21'), Gazdag (35'), Andres Martinez (35'), Wagner (75'), McGlynn (90+5')
Oct 5, 2023 12.30am
Philadelphia
3-2
Atlanta
Gazdag (39'), Uhre (41'), Carranza (45+3')
Elliott (34'), Sullivan (66'), Andres Martinez (75'), Harriel (81')
Almada (56' pen.), Mosquera (77')
Thiare (75')
Jul 2, 2023 9pm
Atlanta
2-0
Philadelphia
Almada (7'), Lennon (79')
Sejdic (70'), Ibarra (75')

Harriel (4'), Carranza (47'), Uhre (65'), Torres (90+3')
Sep 1, 2022 12am
Philadelphia
4-1
Atlanta
Carranza (18'), Uhre (45+3'), Gazdag (67'), Harriel (90+5')
Gutman (24')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1382324121226
2Columbus Crew137512113826
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati138231815326
4Orlando City135622415921
5Nashville SCNashville136342215721
6Inter MiamiInter Miami126332118321
7New York City FCNY City136251514120
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136162018219
9Chicago Fire135442424019
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls135351915418
11New England RevolutionNew England125341210218
12Toronto133461617-113
13DC United133461325-1213
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta132471323-1010
15CF MontrealMontreal13139722-156

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1374222111125
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle135532115620
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes135262620617
8Austin FCAustin13526815-717
9Dallas134451522-716
10Houston DynamoHouston133461319-613
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake134181319-613
12St Louis City13247917-810
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas122281622-68
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy120481029-194
15San Diego FC00000000


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