MX23RW : Friday, March 28 16:26:37| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 4
Mar 2, 2025 at 5am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata
2 - 2
Cerezo

Yamura (17'), Hasegawa (62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nakajima (28'), Ratao (90+1')
Andrade (49'), Tanaka (74'), Kida (80')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Cerezo Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kashima Antlers 2-1 Albirex Niigata
Wednesday, February 26 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 2-1 Cerezo
Wednesday, February 26 at 10am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Albirex NiigataDrawCerezo Osaka
34.76% (0.488 0.49) 24.95% (-0.138 -0.14) 40.28% (-0.35 -0.35)
Both teams to score 57.66% (0.595 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.33% (0.725 0.73)45.67% (-0.725 -0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32% (0.685 0.68)68% (-0.685 -0.69)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.47% (0.629 0.63)25.53% (-0.63 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.62% (0.853 0.85)60.38% (-0.853 -0.85)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.42% (0.14400000000001 0.14)22.58% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.83% (0.21400000000001 0.21)56.18% (-0.21400000000001 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Albirex Niigata 34.76%
    Cerezo Osaka 40.28%
    Draw 24.95%
Albirex NiigataDrawCerezo Osaka
2-1 @ 8% (0.077000000000001 0.08)
1-0 @ 7.87% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.37% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.64% (0.099 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.085 0.09)
3-0 @ 2.45% (0.056 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.055 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 34.76%
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.95% (0.082 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.76% (-0.18 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.95%
1-2 @ 8.72% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-1 @ 8.58% (-0.23 -0.23)
0-2 @ 6.38% (-0.143 -0.14)
1-3 @ 4.32%
0-3 @ 3.17% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.053 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.61% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.18% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 40.28%

Head to Head
Jul 20, 2024 11am
Gameweek 24
Cerezo
1-2
Albirex Niigata
Fernandes (90+10')
Hirano (82')
Matsuda (37'), Ono (47')
Apr 7, 2024 6am
Gameweek 7
Albirex Niigata
0-1
Cerezo

Deng (12'), Shimada (50')
Ceara (69')
Capixaba (39'), Ceara (88')
Dec 3, 2023 5am
Feb 18, 2023 5am
Gameweek 1
Cerezo
2-2
Albirex Niigata
Tameda (28'), Okuno (75')
Taniguchi (22'), Chiba (80')
rhs 2.0
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