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Champions League

Juventus logo
Champions League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 11, 2025 at 8pm UK
Sydney Football Stadium
PSV

Juventus
2 - 1
PSV

McKennie (34'), Mbangula (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Perisic (56')
de Jong (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Juventus and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Como 1-2 Juventus
Friday, February 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: PSV 1-1 Willem II
Saturday, February 8 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 52.06%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 25.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Juventus win was 2-1 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Juventus in this match.

Result
JuventusDrawPSV Eindhoven
25.12% (-4.854 -4.85)22.82% (-0.593 -0.59)52.06% (5.446 5.45)
Both teams to score 59.13% (-2.041 -2.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.88% (-0.881 -0.88)41.12% (0.881 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.49% (-0.902 -0.9)63.51% (0.902 0.9)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.29% (-3.901 -3.9)29.71% (3.902 3.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.23% (-5.003 -5)65.77% (5.001 5)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.12% (1.675 1.68)15.88% (-1.676 -1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.91% (2.998 3)45.09% (-3 -3)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 25.12%
    PSV Eindhoven 52.06%
    Draw 22.81%
JuventusDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 6.39% (-0.837 -0.84)
1-0 @ 5.72% (-0.411 -0.41)
2-0 @ 3.47% (-0.681 -0.68)
3-1 @ 2.59% (-0.678 -0.68)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.46 -0.46)
3-0 @ 1.41% (-0.471 -0.47)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 25.12%
1-1 @ 10.53% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.407 -0.41)
0-0 @ 4.72% (0.186 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.187 -0.19)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.81%
1-2 @ 9.7% (0.407 0.41)
0-1 @ 8.68% (0.798 0.8)
0-2 @ 7.99% (1.13 1.13)
1-3 @ 5.95% (0.559 0.56)
0-3 @ 4.9% (0.922 0.92)
2-3 @ 3.61% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.74% (0.392 0.39)
0-4 @ 2.26% (0.525 0.53)
2-4 @ 1.66% (0.074 0.07)
1-5 @ 1.01% (0.191 0.19)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 52.06%

How you voted: Juventus vs PSV

Juventus
69.1%
Draw
13.1%
PSV Eindhoven
17.8%
320
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2024 5.45pm
League Stage
Juventus
3-1
PSV
Yildiz (21'), McKennie (27'), Gonzalez (52')
Saibari (90+3')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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