We said: Freiburg 2-0 Stuttgart
We are predicting Stuttgart's struggles to continue against their rivals on Saturday, with the Europa-Park Stadion a difficult destination for most sides, never mind one in such poor form like Stuttgart are.
Freiburg will have been massively boosted by their big win in midweek, and that should provide them with the confidence to return to winning ways in the Bundesliga against their neighbours.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 51.14%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 25.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 0-1 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Freiburg in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.
