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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 61.14%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 16.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Greuther Furth win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Wolfsburg | Draw | Greuther Furth |
61.14% | 22.04% | 16.82% |
Both teams to score 48.98% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.56% | 48.44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.42% | 70.58% |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.64% | 15.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.86% | 44.14% |
Greuther Furth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.87% | 42.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.46% | 78.54% |
Score Analysis |
Wolfsburg | Draw | Greuther Furth |
1-0 @ 12.12% 2-0 @ 11.35% 2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 7.09% 3-1 @ 6.13% 4-0 @ 3.32% 4-1 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 2.65% 5-0 @ 1.24% 4-2 @ 1.24% 5-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.22% Total : 61.13% | 1-1 @ 10.48% 0-0 @ 6.47% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.85% Total : 22.04% | 0-1 @ 5.6% 1-2 @ 4.53% 0-2 @ 2.42% 1-3 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.75% Total : 16.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 97 | 37 | 60 | 77 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 3 | 9 | 85 | 52 | 33 | 69 |
3 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 80 | 47 | 33 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 72 | 37 | 35 | 58 |
5 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 50 | 44 | 6 | 57 |
6 | Freiburg | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 55 |
7 | FC Koln | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 52 |
8 | Mainz 05 | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 46 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 58 | 60 | -2 | 46 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 45 |
11 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 45 | 49 | -4 | 42 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 42 |
13 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 42 |
14 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 38 |
15 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 41 | 59 | -18 | 33 |
16 | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 33 |
R | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 28 |
R | Greuther Furth | 34 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 28 | 82 | -54 | 18 |
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