Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 52.75%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 23.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-0 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
