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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.03%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | RB Leipzig |
32.85% | 23.21% | 43.95% |
Both teams to score 63.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.1% | 37.9% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.84% | 60.16% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.05% | 22.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.27% | 56.73% |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.32% | 17.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.68% | 48.32% |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 7.62% 1-0 @ 5.97% 2-0 @ 4.4% 3-1 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 3.24% 3-0 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.17% Total : 32.85% | 1-1 @ 10.35% 2-2 @ 6.6% 0-0 @ 4.06% 3-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.21% | 1-2 @ 8.97% 0-1 @ 7.03% 0-2 @ 6.09% 1-3 @ 5.18% 2-3 @ 3.81% 0-3 @ 3.52% 1-4 @ 2.24% 2-4 @ 1.65% 0-4 @ 1.52% Other @ 3.94% Total : 43.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 29 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 66 | 39 | 27 | 60 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 59 |
3 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 55 |
4 | Freiburg | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 53 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 51 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 47 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 45 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 43 |
9 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 42 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 36 |
11 | FC Koln | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 35 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 47 | 56 | -9 | 35 |
13 | Augsburg | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 30 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 29 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 29 | 8 | 3 | 18 | 32 | 66 | -34 | 27 |
16 | Stuttgart | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 25 |
17 | Schalke 04Schalke | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 26 | 56 | -30 | 24 |
18 | Hertha Berlin | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 22 |
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